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Apple iPad Pro and MacBook Pro Inventory Signals Point to Imminent M5 Refresh

Apple iPad Pro and MacBook Pro

Apple’s latest shipping schedules are hinting at something big. Delays for certain iPad Pro and MacBook Pro models suggest the company is preparing to release new hardware powered by the M5 chip before October 2025 ends.

Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman noticed that some iPad Pro M4 and base 14-inch MacBook Pro models now ship between October 21 and 28, while other versions remain in stock. This selective slowdown looks intentional. It matches Apple’s long-standing pattern of clearing inventory ahead of a refresh.


Apple’s Inventory Tactics Explained

When Apple gets ready for a new launch, it lets current stock run low. This avoids a surplus of outdated devices and keeps post-launch discounts to a minimum.

The latest delays mirror earlier MacBook Pro rollouts. Base models go out of stock first, while premium ones remain available. Gurman called this “as good a sign as any for an imminent iPad Pro M5 debut.”

Apple appears to be refreshing its entry-level 14-inch MacBook Pro first. The high-end M4 Pro and M4 Max models are still shipping normally. That’s a clear sign that only the base configuration will receive the next-generation chip this month.


Why October Matters for Apple

Apple often unveils hardware in October, though its approach varies each year. The company hosted full launch events in 2021 and 2023, but relied on press releases in 2022 and 2024. That pattern makes an October 2025 event likely.

Apple released both the M3 and M4 MacBook Pros on October 30 — the M3 at the “Scary Fast” event in 2023 and the M4 through a multi-day rollout in 2024. If Apple stays consistent, the M5 debut could land in the same late-October window.

Recent FCC filings back that theory. The documents mention products that appear to be the M5 MacBook Pro, M5 iPad Pro, and Vision Pro 2. Interestingly, Apple registered only one MacBook Pro model number, which is unusual since the company typically lists several.


What to Expect from the New Lineup

The iPad Pro M5 is expected to keep its design but gain the new M5 chip, boosting performance and AI capabilities. It may also feature dual front cameras for better video calls in both portrait and landscape modes.

For the MacBook Pro, reports suggest the base 14-inch model will get the M5 chip this year. The M5 Pro and M5 Max versions may not arrive until early 2026. This staggered rollout could help Apple spotlight the base model without competing with its premium variants.

Beyond these flagship devices, Apple may refresh several other products:

  • AirTag 2 with better range and durability
  • Apple TV with the A17 Pro chip and Wi-Fi 7
  • HomePod mini with faster processing
  • Vision Pro 2 with upgraded M4 or M5 power

What It Means for Buyers

These inventory shifts send a clear message. If you’re planning to buy an iPad Pro or entry-level MacBook Pro, waiting a few weeks could pay off. New M5 versions may arrive soon at similar prices.

If you need a new machine now, the current M4 models remain excellent options. They offer strong performance and efficiency for most users.

Analysts expect the M5 chip to deliver noticeable gains in AI tasks and battery life. However, major design changes aren’t expected. Apple’s focus this time seems to be on internal upgrades rather than external redesigns.

The targeted delays confirm this strategy. While base models show slower delivery times, premium configurations still ship quickly. That suggests Apple is adjusting supply only for models that will be replaced.


Looking Ahead to Apple’s October Event

Apple’s October playbook has evolved, but a coordinated event makes the most sense this year. Launching multiple products through scattered press releases could dilute impact. A single showcase would drive more buzz ahead of the holiday season.

October releases also give Apple time to prepare retail channels and let developers update apps for new hardware. It’s a strategy that’s worked for past Mac and iPad rollouts.

Whether Apple opts for a full live event or a series of smaller announcements, all signs point to new M5 devices arriving soon. Between inventory signals, FCC filings, and Apple’s familiar timing, the evidence is strong.

For now, buyers face a simple choice: purchase an M4 model today or wait for the M5 generation just around the corner.

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